Tuesday, 29 December 2015

Why Leicester can win the Premier League.

            For a team who was last this time last year in the premier league, Leicester has quieted the naysayers and proved that they deserve their current spot in the league. Now, at the time of writing this, they are tied with league leaders Arsenal going into the New Year. Why such a drastic improvement this year? What changes have been implemented in order to change a team that had 5000/1 odds to win the league at the start of the season, to a team that now has 10/1 odds?

            The biggest difference is manager Claudio Ranieri. It seems that players have adapted his high intensity regiment and have prospered under his tactics. With many saying Leicester have had the signing of the year in N’Golo Kante, the team have gelled together amazingly and are true contenders to win league.

            Everybody thought that Leicester’s recent schedule would prove to be the end of their season. Dating back from November 28th, Leicester has played United, Swansea, Chelsea, Everton, Liverpool and City. Their only loss coming to Liverpool in a 1-0 defeat. They tied United and City 1-1 and 0-0.

            Ranieri warrants a very intense style of football. Usually utilizing a 4-4-2 formation, he has his players coming back to defend while keeping only Vardy near the top of their half in order to start the counter or to put pressure on the opposing teams defenders which he does so well. The team as a whole makes it so hard to play against; closing down other teams within seconds and not giving you any free space.  From there, Leicester keeps it very simple. Working the wings with Mahrez and Albrighton providing pace, skill and excellent crosses to the box. The difference with Leicester is that they get more players in the box than other teams do. When the ball is on one wing, players rush to the far post and flood the area. Many of Leicester’s scoring chances and goals result from gaining control on the outside of the box from crosses that have been deflected out by opposing defenders or from direct crosses to either Mahrez or Vardy. Obviously, there have been some outstanding individual efforts by Mahrez and Vardy in particular but on a team level, this is what Leicester does.

            What personally interests me the most about Leicester is their passion and perseverance towards the game. They are relentless. Leicester has only been shut out twice this year and it was away at Liverpool and home to City. What’s interesting about this is that they rank last in league in home possession with 41.6% and 14th in the league for away possession with 43%. This shows that possession is not as big of deal as it may seem if you have a high conversion rate—which they do. In fact, Leicester has the best conversion rate in the league converting 22.2% of their shots.

            Another attribute Leicester possesses that can lead them to the title is their ability to not falter when they gain the lead. 13 times Leicester has lead this season, and they have won 11, only dropping 5 points. On the flip side, Leicester has fallen behind 8 times this season, going on to win 2 of these and draw 4. They rank first in points from behind and second in points after taking the lead.


            This team and what they have accomplished is not a fluke. This run of form is not luck. It comes from buying in to the manager and his tactics and coming together as a squad. Watching Leicester is a lot like watching Southampton move up the rankings within the past 3 seasons. They play as a proper team and work for their results. Leicester is the only team to have 2 players in the top 10 for scoring this year. If they can continue to produce the way they have for the first half of the season, than they will be serious contenders for not only champions league football, but for the Premier League title. The questions remain surrounding their ability to keep their top players, especially Mahrez for next season, but that is another article in itself. 

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